Introduction
Accounting for nearly 8% of national annual GDP, the Canadian financial services sector is crucial to the country’s economy, spanning banking, insurance, investment, and other related activities.
Where risk management once hinged on credit, market, and liquidity exposures, the post-pandemic global environment has thrust non-traditional risks into the spotlight. Cyber threats, climate shocks, geopolitical volatility, pandemics, rapid technological innovation, and talent risks now pose systemic challenges that have grown in significance. This is due to the increasing complexity and speed of business operations taking place, and the interconnected vulnerabilities created as a result.
Defining Non-Traditional Risks
Risk Challenges
Impact on the Canadian Financial Sector
Cybersecurity and cyber threats
AI adoption and data analytics
Climate change and environmental risks
As explored in this report, today’s risk landscape demands not only technical expertise, but strategic foresight, resilient leadership, and adaptive talent strategies.
Discover the rising impact of non-traditional risks on Canada’s financial services sector and strategies for resilience.
AI Adoption and Data Analytics
Impacts and risks
Poorly trained, inadequately tested, or improperly developed AI models can yield inaccurate results, leading to flawed financial decisions or mispriced risks.
Defining black box complexities
Black box AI is a system where the internal decision-making modeling process is unclear and difficult to understand, even for the developers. This lack of transparency makes it hard to understand outputs and increases the risk of concealing cybersecurity vulnerabilities and other unintended problems.
Another key challenge is ensuring the effective oversight of data collection and analytics processes.
Talent Strategies
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Cybersecurity & Cyber Threats
Dual jurisdiction pressures
Cyber risk is among the most urgent non-traditional risks confronting Canadian financial institutions.
Financial firms are prime targets because of the sensitive client data and the high-value transactions they process.
Ransomware, data breaches, and credential-phishing schemes jeopardize individual institutions and the integrity of the broader financial system.
A major breach can lead to significant economic losses or erosion of customer trust and broader financial consequences — outcomes already observed in past global banking incidents.
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Among the top risks to the Canadian financial system over the next five years, cyber risk was ranked as the most significant concern overall.
Geopolitical and Geoeconomics Risks
Geopolitical tensions and trade disputes can undermine the stability of the financial system.
Furthermore, in the coming years, international tax and regulatory policy initiatives will influence Canadian financial institutions operating abroad. Global macroeconomic risks can materialize and escalate quickly, making them unpredictable and often resulting in complex second- and third-order effects.
These dynamics require financial institutions to recruit and cultivate talent versed in international politics, trade, and economics. While many organizations have historically relied on external specialists to enhance their internal capabilities, that reliance is likely to diminish.
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Climate Change and Environmental Risks
Climate-related risks — both physical and transitional — are now recognized as threats to financial and operational stability.
Transitional risks arise as economies shift to low-carbon models. Changes in U.S. climate policy, for example, complicate the move away from fossil fuels. Canadian regions rich in natural resources and exposed to climate events face heightened vulnerability, impacting financial institution lending and insurance activities.
Currently, there is a global divide on the issue of climate policy. These uncertainties will make it increasingly difficult for financial services leaders to determine suitable policy and investment strategies to manage this complex risk.
Addressing Non-Traditional Risks
Strategies for risk management
Alignment requires verifying that adequate operational budgets and technology acquisition funding are both allocated and fully committed.
Achieving this alignment also depends on collaboration across the organization, with industry peers and regulators.
Investing in technology and cybersecurity
Enhancing risk governance and culture
Building operational resilience
Engaging stakeholders
Looking Ahead
Integrating non-traditional risk factors into enterprise frameworks will best position organizations to safeguard stakeholders, ensure sustainable growth, and maintain confidence in Canada’s financial system.
Key takeaways:
Rising complexity
Strategic alignment
Effective mitigation requires aligning risk management capabilities, budgets, and technology investments with overall business strategy and long-term resilience goals.
Collaborative action
Cross-sector collaboration, including partnerships among regulators, industry peers, and public institutions, is essential for sharing insights and strengthening stability.
Cultural transformation
Building a risk-aware culture — supported by strong governance, continuous learning, and data literacy — is critical to navigating ambiguity and fostering trust.
About Massey Henry
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Partner

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